Crash Testing German Banks
In this paper we stress-test credit portfolios of twenty-eight German banks based on a Merton-type multifactor credit-risk model. The stress scenario is an economic downturn in the automobile sector. Although the percentage of loans in the automobile sector is relatively low for all banks in the sample, the expected loss conditional on the stress event increases substantially by 70-80 percent for the total portfolio. This result confirms the need to account for hidden sectoral concentration risk..
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